In terms of macroeconomic developments, the Fed has revised down its median economic growth forecast for 2018 to 3%, from 3.1% in September. The increase in GDP in 2019 has also been revised downwards by two tenths, up to How To Make A Pie Chart 2.3%. The calculations for 2020 and 2021 remain stable. Likewise, the central bank has maintained its forecast for the evolution of the labor market in 3.7% for 2018 and 3.5% for 2019. The US labor market generated a total of 155,000 non-agricultural jobs last November and kept the unemployment rate at 3.7% (6 million unemployed), according to data from the Department of Labor.
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On the other hand, the personal consumption expenditure price index, the preferred variable by the Fed to measure inflation, stood in October, the last data available, at 2% compared to last year. The monthly rate stood at 0.2% in the tenth month of the year, one tenth less than the previous month. Core inflation, which excludes energy and food prices given its greater volatility, also stood at 0.1% monthly, while the interannual rate rose 1.8%.
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The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds its last meeting of the year on Wednesday, from which a new rise in interest rates should come out – most analysts calculate it at 0.25% more, so that rates could climb up to 2.5% – as well as more clues than what this agency will do during 2019.
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All this, amid pressures from the current president of the United States Donald Trump and the media as “The Wall Street Journal” for leave the types as they are. On the other hand, most analysts point to a possible slowdown in the rate of increases next year.
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In this line, the US president sent several messages to the Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, through his Twitter account: “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and no inflation, with the world flying through the air, Paris Burning and China falling, the Fed continues to consider another rate increase. Let’s enjoy!”.
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In another message he recommended reading the editorial of “The Wall Street Journal” on Wednesday, which called for the Fed to take a break in terms of rate hikes, and prevent “the market became more illiquid” For Javier Niederleytner, professor of the Master’s Degree in Stock Exchange and Financial Markets of the Institute of Stock Market Studies (IEB), the pressures that Trump and other media are exerting “have made him see that interest rates are in the right position”.
The economy experienced an annualized growth of 3.5% How To Make A Pie Chart in the third quarter of 2018, seven tenths below the expansion registered in the immediately preceding quarter, as well as the same previously advanced by the Office of Economic Analysis of the Government of the North American country.